In a speech on Tuesday Barack Obama declared that he is in favour of talking to Iran - something that would constitute a huge shift in American diplomatic policy. Abolhassan Banisadr, the first ever elected Iranian president, today exiled in France, reacts to the announcement.
Alongside Ayatollah Khomeiny, Abolhassan Banisadr took part in the 1979 revolution that ousted the Iranian monarchy. He was elected president of the republic in January 1980. But his term was set to be short. He was impeached in June 1981 under action driven by Ayatollah Khomeiny. A month later he was forced to leave the country and took refuge in France. Today he lives in Versailles, close to Paris, in a house protected by the police.
Obama's idea
is a wise one. Bush dealt with Iran
with a permanently provocative policy. He tried to scare the Iranians, threatening
economic sanctions and even a military intervention. But who profited
from this policy? The Iranian government. The Iranian people are trapped by two fears. On the inside of the
country, they're scared of their own regime and from the outside, that of the US. Clamped in,
they don't dare move. If the American diplomacy stopped making threats, the
Iranian people could demonstrate against their government, which is responsible
for the economic and cultural ruin of the country. The Iranian
people need support from the
international community, not threats.
The Islamic republic has always preferred the Republicans to the Democrats. It was Reagan who Khomeiny made an agreement with in 1980. They got on so well that the American hostages were released just after the presidential election [American diplomats were held hostage in their embassy for 400 days; an incident that sparked a diplomatic crisis between the two countries]. That played a part in the defeat of Carter. Similarly, Irangate [when it was revealed that the US had sold arms to Iran in 1985 when officially they preached an embargo], happened under Reagan's administration as well.
Republicans, like the Islamic republic, benefit from a tense climate. The Guards of the Revolution moreover, have an interest in reserving their foreign enemies. They control the country more than Ahmadinejad does - the justice system, the parliament, and even more so the economy. Today Iran lives on a allowance-based economy controlled by the Guards. Petrol, smuggling, imports, land; it's all in their hands. If they opened the country, they wouldn't profit from the blossoming economy that would follow.
I prefer Obama to the other American candidates. But that's not the real question. The real question is whether the same Americans that elected Bush are capable today of electing a black and Democratic candidate. I have my doubts."
Commentaires
Utter nonsense
Soumis par John Moore (non vérifié) le jeu, 10/04/2008 - 19:33.As has been pointed out, Reagan was hardly a friend of Iran. The hostages for arms deal was part of a plan to keep two regional powers at war with each other while getting back Americans taken illegally by Iran (we were giving Iraq intelligence data at the same time).
The idea that talking with Iran will resolve their belligerence is hopelessly naive. Iran is an ancient culture with a very long history of imperialist behavior and a recent history of continuous violence against its enemies through terrorism. Add that to the religious fanaticism of the leadership, and you have a very dangerous set of motivations.
Note that Saddam Hussein was so afraid of Iranian imperialism that he pretended to have WMD's to bluff the Iranians, even though that lead to the war that ultimately caused his death. He stated this after his capture. His American interrogator naturally asked why he made sure the world was certain he had WMD's, when he did not. He could easily have cooperated with the inspectors in a way that showed he did not have the weapons, but instead ordered his government to thwart them.
Iran is the most significant sponsor of terrorism in the world - both Sunni and Shiite (even though they hate the Sunnis). It has terrorist arms such as Hezbollah, and assists other terror groups including Al Qaeda - in spite of religious and ethnic (Arab vs Persian) differences. It is actively fighting the US in Iran, with Iranian Al Quds special operations soldiers being killed, IN IRAQ, on a daily basis, and the most effective weapon against US troops being the Iranian made EFP IED.
With nuclear weapons, Iran becomes a nation impervious to coercion, thus making their imperialism and religious jihadism far more dangerous. For example, they might unleash Hezbollah for terror attacks within the US once we are unable to retaliate against them. They would threaten the world's energy supplies in order to extort concessions - sure that they would not be attacked.
Talking with them isn't going to change this. A nation which puts so much of its money into a weapons program, when its economy is failing, is hardly going to change its mind because somebody whispers sweet nothings in the ears of "moderates." The idea that diplomacy can solve all problems is a honey trap - it tastes so good, but it is so foolish
The real question with Iran is whether the apocalyptic mahdiism of its president will cause it to launch a nuclear war against Israel (as recommended by #2 Ayatoolah Rafsanjani), or provide nukes to terrorists to set off in the US, or whether it will just use its nuclear leverage to increase its power and its almost 30 year old campaign of murder of civilians through terrorism.
The idea that Republicans need Iran because Republicans thrive on a hostile enemy is silly. If it were true, Republicans would be doing great right now, since the US has so many dangerous enemies in the world - Iran, North Korea, Al Qaeda, China. It might seem that Iranian hardliners would be happier with a hostile US. Repressive regimes (unlike that in the US) often use nationalism engendered by outside threats as a way to maintain power over their population.
However, the Iranians have the capability to generate external threats at will, no matter what party holds the US presidency. The difference is that a Republican like McCain might actually take retaliatory or pre-emptive action, thwarting Iran's imperialist goals and extremely dangerous nuclear potential, while a Democrat will not do anything until it is too late.
Probably the most dangerous event that could happen in today's world is the acquisition of nuclear weapons by Iran. And it will most likely happen by 2010 unless Iran is stopped, by whatever means it takes. Those who do not recognize this threat, and the dynamics surrounding it, are in a state of psychological denail.
Utilisateur non inscrit
Believe Or Not Believe
Soumis par Linda White (non vérifié) le dim, 13/04/2008 - 04:08.In every interview I heard with Saddam, he always denied having weopons of mass destruction.In every weopons report on whether or not Saddam had mass destruction weopons the answer was no.In every word George Bush spoke to invade Iraq there were reports to discredit his many,many 935 and more lies.You say Saddam petended to bluff the Iranians.I guess George Bush pretended,lied to bluff the world and the American people.And not that many of Americans or the world were fooled so easily.If it had not been for the silencing of our voices by powerful rulers and their money powering censorship of a free nation and the world, this would not be what it is in Iraq.A holocaust! So don't start again with the "reconize the threat".
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Utter Nonsense was a good title for that post
Soumis par Ruth (non vérifié) le jeu, 10/04/2008 - 23:57.Apparently John Moore doesn't know much in the way of facts and history, but he sure has a vivid imagination.
Moore concludes by charging that those who want diplomacy are in a state of psychological "denail." Perhaps he's in a psychological state himself. Moore seems to be in the camp of those who can't sleep at night because of paranoid fantasies that Iran is secretly plotting to nuke Israel.
To these, my unfortunate and frightened fellow Americans, I say, "OK, squirm in your bed with the covers pulled over your head, take tranquilizers, see a therapist. Whatever it takes." I don't mean to be cruel. In fact, I feel for those whose fears--fears that possibly stem from their parents' experience with the Nazis--are being manipulated by the likes of Cheney.
But dear Mr. Moore, don't try to rally level-headed and humane Americans behind the idea of nuking Iran--the U.S. committing a "preemptive holocaust" on innocent civilians, if you will--because of your fears. That would be immoral, illegal, and illogical.
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Banisadr doesnt't know his history or is lying
Soumis par j green (non vérifié) le jeu, 10/04/2008 - 16:20.This makes absolutely no sense whatsoever. Mullahs didn't release the hostages as soon as Reagan came because of freidnship, they were afraid Reagan was kick their a$$ being the cowboy that he seemed to be.
The mullahs don't want a republican, either. The fact that Banisadr says that they prefer republicans demonstrates that they actually don't want a republican. It was Carter who allowed them to exist in the early stages of the revolution, Clinton who dropped the embargo and allowed their carpets, cashews, and other products into the U.S., Clinton who's Secretary of State Albright wrongly apologized for a litany of things.
They forget that Reagan also strongly backed te Iraqis against Iran during the Iran-Iraq War.
For Banisadr to say these things means eeither he was asleep all throughout the time or he isplanly lying because he is doing the mullah's bidding still, even today. When Banisadr is trying to steer people away from Republican votes towards Obama, then its obvious he and the mullah;s prefer Obama--afterall, the only thing that he says se is going to do is talk to them which is exactly what every administration has done since Carter till now. Shame on you Banisadr for trying to manipulate the vote in such an insulting transparent way.
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Dear J Green
Soumis par Alex (non vérifié) le jeu, 10/04/2008 - 18:33.Dear J Green
Did you manage to read the whole post? His whole point is that both the Republicans and the Iraqi authorities benefit from the arrangement BECAUSE of the tensions, not because they're best friends.
Anyway it's a "no brainer" (as you like to call them in the US) that Obama would ease relations with the Middle East in general and that provocative bullies like Bush and his gang are as good at international relations as a group of English football hooilgans.
It's a shame for the rest of Americans that idiots like you keep voting for such irresponsible people that get you blown up.
But why am I telling you this I don't know, you've been so brainwashed by American media that you'll probably think this is propaganda from the Obama team who are sitting at their laptops with turbans on praying to Allah "the all evil one".
If your country wasn't so interfering with other people's we could let you live in your blissful ignorance.
Utilisateur non inscrit
BaniSadr: Old Dog of EU Policy
Soumis par Anonyme (non vérifié) le sam, 12/04/2008 - 01:48.Coming from BanSadr, who was in the EU wing of the IRI back in the 80s, and consequently fled the country wearing women's veil in the same airplane with terrorist MEK leader Massud Rajavi, this is nothing new.
This shows that EU foreign policy enforcers, both new and old version like BaniSadr, still hope to save the regime in Tehran albeit with their own cohorts in power. They hope to have a future IRI 100% controlled, supported, and bred by EU.
No wonder Banisadr, the EU illuminati free mason lap dog, is now pro B. Hussein Ibn Al-Obama!
Go back into your hole Abol-Hassan!
Utilisateur non inscrit
Illogical
Soumis par Anonyme (non vérifié) le jeu, 10/04/2008 - 15:25.Does every middle Easterner have to blame the USA for everything?
And will Obama talking to a rogue terror state that is building a nuclear bomb to bomb the US have any benefit for the Iranian people? No.
The reason hostages were let go is because Iran knew that while Carter fucked up the rescue, Reagan would not. If the hostages were not let go on Day 1, Reagan would have planned for a massive rescue mission that would have altered Iran's future. Too bad that didn't happen.
The logic here is simply absurd. Blame America not the mullahs that use Islamic law to the detriment of their people.
Iranian Resistance wants more sanctions, as does the very country that gives you refuge and protection. At worst you seem ungrateful.
Cheap ploy to get a Hamas & Iran friendly democrat some publicity.
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Multi-party in Iran is against what said
Soumis par Omid (non vérifié) le jeu, 10/04/2008 - 00:06.Iran is not goverened by one party in different times. As a result, Mr Obama can talk to more moderate parties in Iran.
This necessiate their victory, both Obama and an Iranian counterpart, in the coming elections.
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banisadrs views are usefull
Soumis par Anonyme (non vérifié) le jeu, 10/04/2008 - 09:43.banisadrs views are usefull not only for Iran but for the whole world.
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Obama Demonstrates Command of the Issues
Soumis par Wayne Phillips le mer, 09/04/2008 - 22:25.Obama demonstrated that he understands the problem with Iraq is that there is no clear definition of victory. The main problem is a war with no objective has no end. McCain and many Republicans give the impression that the U.S. cannot claim victory in Iraq until it is safe for all Americans to vacation there. Can you say Spring Break Baghdad? Instead, Obama clarified success with General Patreaus. Before the hearing the definition of success was an Iraq with no trace of Al Qeada and zero influence from Iran. This definition of success would take several decades and trillions of dollars to acheive. By the end of the hearing Obama successfully defined a much more attainable version of success. An Iraq where Al Qeada will try to reconsitute itself but will not be effective in imposing it's will there. Obama and Gen Patreaus left with an understanding that Iran will have some influence in Iraq but not the type of influence that will endanger U.S. interests. Obama was the only candidate that actually accomplished something and that something is clarification for success in Iraq thus clarifying circumstances under which the US will be able to withdraw troops without the Republicans declaring the Democrats lost the war.
Wayne Phillips
Typical obama follower, no
Soumis par Anonyme (non vérifié) le jeu, 10/04/2008 - 15:30.Typical obama follower, no one ever said anything about vacationing in Iraq...obama has command of one thing - lying. He does it extremely well.
Obama hasn't defined victory in Iraq and used the hearings to bash Bush - gee that's hard - and prove he has no understanding of military tactics, no respect for the military, and even proved himself wrong by stating the surge has worked. Of course he was against a surge claiming it could not work. In fact he wanted troops out by now...
Also stated Iran & AQ don't work together but 9/11 commission clearly provided evidence they do, and Petraeus echoed that. Obama - wrong again.
Nice try tho guy, informed readers won't fall for this garbage.
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There are always those that
Soumis par BustaNeo (non vérifié) le ven, 11/04/2008 - 01:45.There are always those that prefer to lash out rather than to reason, you can't make a predatory irrational person transform, thats why we all need to ignore the hotheads, talk to the ragheads, and negotiate a peace with the whole ME region. So get your sporting shoes on and make sure those that stand up for "reason' bang louder than these Aipac-Neo-Facist-Ignorrant-Fanatics!
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arrogant republican
Soumis par Anonyme (non vérifié) le jeu, 10/04/2008 - 15:58.your guys created this mess, obama is just trying to bring rationality that brings a nuanced plan. mccain is a come lately panderer. he didn't complain that we lost money, weren't properly equipping troops, no complaints about walter reed, i tihnk he is more senile then reagan! you put these dictators in power: arafat, saddam and amin, then complain when they aren't us puppets.
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arrogant republican! it was
Soumis par Anonyme (non vérifié) le jeu, 10/04/2008 - 15:52.arrogant republican! it was buwsh who brought us into the war and mccain/republicans who didn't press him to do the operation right. obama is starting to realize you can't end the war with a snap of the fingers. in the general election he will run a more well-thought out plan to end the war but not before at least some stability and accountablity is shown in iraq.
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Blame Bush And America
Soumis par Linda White (non vérifié) le dim, 13/04/2008 - 03:31.Oh you people make me sick!"accountability in Inraq.Next You're be blaming the children for their starving and living filth!George Bush, George George anfd America is to blame aall the way for this holocaust of a mess in Iraq.So please,please stop blaming the victim.
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